[2476] Base Rate
Title Text:Sure, you can talk about per-capita adjustment, but if you want to solve the problem, it’s obvious that this is the group you need to focus on. Origin:https://xkcd.com/2476/ https://www.explainxkcd.com/wiki/index.php/2476:_Base_Rate 基本比率 确实,你可以说要根据人均做出调整,但你要是想解决问题,很显然得把注意集中在这组人身上。 解释:基本比率(base rate)是一种基础概率,统计学概率可以以此为基础进行计算。基本比率谬误(base rate fallacy)是一种错误类型,指某件事发生在整体之… Read more
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